SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Basel had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | St Gallen |
33.08% ( -0.54) | 24.46% ( 0.18) | 42.46% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% ( -1.01) | 43.8% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( -1) | 66.19% ( 0.99) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( -0.8) | 25.63% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.48% ( -1.1) | 60.52% ( 1.1) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( -0.26) | 20.74% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.63% ( -0.41) | 53.37% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.08% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.46% |
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