SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Basel had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Basel |
38.83% ( -0.76) | 23.98% ( 0.17) | 37.19% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 61.53% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.21% ( -0.78) | 40.79% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.82% ( -0.81) | 63.17% ( 0.8) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( -0.7) | 21.15% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.99% ( -1.1) | 54.01% ( 1.1) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( -0.05) | 21.97% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.74% ( -0.08) | 55.26% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.74% Total : 38.83% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.19% |
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