SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Basel had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | St Gallen |
26.49% ( -0.08) | 22.54% ( -0.04) | 50.98% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 61.54% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( 0.11) | 38.55% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( 0.12) | 60.85% ( -0.12) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0) | 27.32% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% ( 0) | 62.77% ( -0) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( 0.08) | 15.33% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.93% ( 0.15) | 44.07% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 26.49% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 50.98% |
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