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Wednesday, December 25
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Champions League | League Stage
Dec 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
BayArena
IL

B. Leverkusen
1 - 0
Inter Milan

Mukiele (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Calhanoglu (25'), Augusto (28'), Barella (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Parma
Friday, December 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Inter Milan

While Leverkusen may finally penetrate Inter's rock-solid rearguard, their lack of a conventional striker could cost them a chance to defeat their Italian counterparts. The Nerazzurri are past masters at soaking up pressure, and they have both the composure and confidence to strike hard on the counter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawInter Milan
42.6% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 24.82% (-0.044 -0.04) 32.58% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.5% (0.21 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (0.252 0.25)45.61% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (0.239 0.24)67.94% (-0.241 -0.24)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.061999999999998 0.06)21.44% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.094999999999999 0.09)54.45% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.209 0.21)26.81% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.275 0.27)62.1% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 42.6%
    Inter Milan 32.58%
    Draw 24.82%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.6%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 St Pauli
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Salzburg
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Parma
Friday, December 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-5 Inter Milan
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Venezia
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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