SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest Instituto win was 0-1 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Instituto |
40.19% ( -0.11) | 29.61% ( 0.09) | 30.2% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.34% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.53% ( -0.28) | 64.46% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.48% ( -0.2) | 83.51% ( 0.2) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( -0.21) | 31.44% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% ( -0.24) | 67.82% ( 0.24) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.76% ( -0.14) | 38.24% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25% ( -0.14) | 75% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 40.18% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.6% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.63% Total : 30.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
