SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Racing Club |
27.94% ( 5.47) | 26.96% ( 1.7) | 45.1% ( -7.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.38% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.65% ( -2.42) | 56.34% ( 2.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.63% ( -1.99) | 77.37% ( 1.99) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.42% ( 3.49) | 35.58% ( -3.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.65% ( 3.44) | 72.34% ( -3.44) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.1% ( -4.25) | 24.89% ( 4.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.49% ( -6.3) | 59.5% ( 6.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 1.57) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.96)2-0 @ 4.73% ( 1.17)3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.51)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.51)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.02% Total : 27.94% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.77) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.79)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.59)0-2 @ 8.56% ( -1.47)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.86)0-3 @ 3.97% ( -1.31)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.53)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.7)Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.09% |
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