SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
66.24% ( -1.81) | 20.23% ( 0.98) | 13.53% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 46.9% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.88% ( -2.36) | 47.12% ( 2.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.65% ( -2.23) | 69.35% ( 2.23) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.65% ( -1.23) | 13.35% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.76% ( -2.53) | 40.24% ( 2.53) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.12% ( -0.16) | 45.87% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.38% ( -0.13) | 81.62% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 2-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.64)2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.38)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.24)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.71% Total : 66.23% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.23% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.21% Total : 13.53% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
