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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 10, 2024 at 12am UK
Bermuda National Stadium
HN

Bermuda
1 - 6
Honduras

Lewis (45+4' pen.)
Lee (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arriaga (14'), Ruiz (49'), Rodriguez (53'), Vega (56'), Najar (62'), Rochez (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Antigua 1-1 Bermuda
Wednesday, June 5 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Honduras 3-1 Cuba
Friday, June 7 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

We said: Bermuda 0-3 Honduras

The Bermudans may be able to keep Honduras at bay for a while, but given the superior quality of the visitors, we believe the floodgates will open if Los Catrachos can score one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
BermudaDrawHonduras
49.53% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 25.76% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 24.69% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)53.93% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)75.38% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)21.8% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)55% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)73.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bermuda 49.53%
    Honduras 24.69%
    Draw 25.76%
BermudaDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 49.53%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Antigua 1-1 Bermuda
Wednesday, June 5 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Guinea 5-1 Bermuda
Monday, March 25 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Bermuda 2-0 Brunei
Friday, March 22 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: French Guiana 3-0 Bermuda
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 3-1 St Vincent & Gr.
Friday, November 17 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 1-1 Belize
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 3-1 Cuba
Friday, June 7 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 27 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-1 Honduras
Saturday, March 23 at 11.15pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 0-2 Iceland
Thursday, January 18 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Honduras (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 22 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League


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