SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Derry City |
34.58% ( -0.01) | 26.87% ( 0) | 38.55% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.07% ( -0) | 53.93% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.61% ( -0) | 75.38% ( 0) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0) | 29.61% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% ( -0.01) | 65.65% ( 0.01) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( 0) | 27.23% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.33% ( 0) | 62.66% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.54% |
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