SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
41.79% ( -0.08) | 26.41% ( 0.01) | 31.8% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.3% ( -0.01) | 52.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.66% ( -0.01) | 74.34% ( 0.01) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( -0.04) | 24.93% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.44% ( -0.06) | 59.55% ( 0.06) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( 0.04) | 30.83% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.9% ( 0.05) | 67.1% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.8% |
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