SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
40.18% ( -0.25) | 27.15% ( 2.82) | 32.67% ( -2.56) |
| Both teams to score 49.94% ( -10.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.63% ( -12.68) | 55.37% ( 12.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.43% ( -11.48) | 76.57% ( 11.48) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( -5.79) | 27.01% ( 5.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% ( -8.26) | 62.36% ( 8.26) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% ( -7.72) | 31.58% ( 7.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.01% ( -9.93) | 67.99% ( 9.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 3.31) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 1.22)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.83)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -1.11)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.54)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 1.62) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 3.47)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -1.39)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 2.58) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.64)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -1)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -1.12)Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.67% |
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