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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
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Bolton
1 - 0
Peterborough

Lolos (90+9')
Adeboyejo (50'), Schon (53'), Lolos (90+10'), De Havilland (90+8'), Lolos (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Curtis (69'), Sparkes (71'), Ihionvien (85'), Fernandez (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bolton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Peterborough United

Bolton may have experienced disappointment in their midweek away clash with Birmingham, but they have won two of their last three home league games, and we think that they will claim another home win against a Peterborough side that have lost each of their previous three away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.74%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.11%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPeterborough United
56.74% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 22.86%
Both teams to score 65.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.97% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)11.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.46% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35%61.65%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 56.74%
    Peterborough United 22.86%
    Draw 20.4%
Bolton WanderersDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.56%
4-1 @ 3.73%
4-0 @ 2.81%
4-2 @ 2.48%
5-1 @ 1.63%
5-0 @ 1.22%
4-3 @ 1.1%
5-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 56.74%
1-1 @ 8.69%
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.4%
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-1 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-2 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 22.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bolton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Aston Villa U21s (1-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-4 Bolton
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Blackpool
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 3-1 Peterborough
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Rotherham
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 3-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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