Bolton may have experienced disappointment in their midweek away clash with Birmingham, but they have won two of their last three home league games, and we think that they will claim another home win against a Peterborough side that have lost each of their previous three away matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.74%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.11%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.