Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 43%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
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