SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Santos had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Santos |
55.69% ( -1.31) | 23.32% ( 0.27) | 20.99% ( 1.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.2% ( 0.19) | 47.8% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% ( 0.17) | 69.98% ( -0.18) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( -0.39) | 17% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.88% ( -0.7) | 47.12% ( 0.7) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.92% ( 1.17) | 37.07% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.14% ( 1.15) | 73.86% ( -1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botafogo | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.34)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.03% Total : 55.69% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.32% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.99% |
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