Although only one point separates them in the league, Santos have won three of their last four meetings with Botafogo, and we think they will clinch another victory over them on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
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