SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Botafogo |
49.07% ( 0.59) | 26.93% ( -0.05) | 24.01% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 45.39% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.35% ( -0.2) | 58.65% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% ( -0.16) | 79.2% ( 0.16) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( 0.18) | 24.02% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( 0.27) | 58.28% ( -0.27) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.73% ( -0.62) | 40.27% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.1% ( -0.56) | 76.9% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bragantino | Draw | Botafogo |
| 1-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.01% |
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