SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Rennes |
42.78% ( -0.56) | 25.8% ( -0.01) | 31.42% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( 0.24) | 50.29% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( 0.21) | 72.24% ( -0.21) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -0.17) | 23.37% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( -0.24) | 57.34% ( 0.24) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( 0.51) | 29.87% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( 0.61) | 65.96% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.42% |
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