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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
BL

Brighton
2 - 1
Brentford

Gross (31'), Hinshelwood (52')
Paul van Hecke (25'), Buonanotte (45+7'), Gilmour (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mbeumo (27' pen.)
Wissa (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Luton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
67.04% (-0.398 -0.4) 18.45% (0.176 0.18) 14.51% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 55.71% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17% (-0.342 -0.34)36.83% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.99% (-0.375 -0.38)59.01% (0.377 0.38)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.86% (-0.191 -0.19)10.14% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.65% (-0.438 -0.44)33.35% (0.442 0.44)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (0.085000000000001 0.09)38% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (0.083000000000002 0.08)74.77% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 67.04%
    Brentford 14.51%
    Draw 18.45%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.7% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 67.04%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.45%
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.73% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 14.51%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Brighton
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: AEK Athens 0-1 Brighton
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Sheff Utd
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Luton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Brentford
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 West Ham
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Brentford
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-0 Burnley
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League


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