Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
69.31% (![]() | 16.28% (![]() | 14.41% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.96% (![]() | 26.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.74% (![]() | 46.26% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.14% (![]() | 6.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.76% (![]() | 25.24% (![]() |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% (![]() | 30.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% (![]() | 67.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.94% (![]() 3-1 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 3.99% Total : 69.31% | 1-1 @ 6.67% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.41% Total : 16.28% | 1-2 @ 3.92% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 2.96% Total : 14.41% |
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