Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
