Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal II would win this match.

Result
Villarreal II	Draw	Burgos
37.14% ( 0.04)	28.67% ( -0)	34.19% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.74% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.26% (

0.01)

60.74% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.2% (

0.01)

80.8% (

-0)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59% (

0.03)

31.41% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22% (

0.04)

67.78% (

-0.03)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68% (

-0.01)

33.32% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.06% (

-0.02)

69.94% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Villarreal II 37.14%

Burgos 34.19%

Draw 28.67%

Villarreal II	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.14%	1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.67%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.19%