It is tough to back Valencia away from home, even against a Cadiz outfit that have struggled in front of their own fans. It would certainly not be a surprise to see an away or indeed a home victory on Sunday, but we just have a feeling that a cagey affair will end with the points being shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
0.2) 
-0.69) 
