Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0.28) 
-0) 
