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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Caracas
1 - 1
Rosario

Pernia (25')
Rivas (17'), Perez (34'), Jimenez (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Modica (67')
Martinez (79'), Modica (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Penarol 5-0 Caracas
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
Wednesday, April 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
CaracasDrawRosario Central
37.38% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 29.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 33.59% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.68% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.99% (0.065999999999995 0.07)62.01% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)81.74% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02)31.9% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66% (0.02 0.02)68.34% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.063000000000002 0.06)34.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.068999999999999 0.07)71.11% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Caracas 37.38%
    Rosario Central 33.58%
    Draw 29.02%
CaracasDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 12.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 37.38%
1-1 @ 13.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29.02%
0-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 33.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Penarol 5-0 Caracas
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Caracas 1-4 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Caracas 0-1 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, March 8 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 5-1 Caracas
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Caracas 0-0 The Strongest
Tuesday, May 17 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Caracas 1-0 Libertad
Tuesday, May 3 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
Wednesday, April 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Rosario
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Rosario
Monday, April 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Penarol
Thursday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Rosario 1-2 Barracas Central
Thursday, March 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-0 Rosario
Wednesday, March 20 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division


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