Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Rosario Central.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result |
Caracas | Draw | Rosario Central |
37.38% ( -0.02) | 29.03% ( -0.02) | 33.59% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 44.68% ( 0.05) |
37.99% ( 0.07) | 62.01% ( -0.07) |
18.26% ( 0.05) | 81.74% ( -0.05) |
68.1% ( 0.02) | 31.9% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.66% ( 0.02) | 68.34% ( -0.02) |
65.6% ( 0.06) | 34.4% ( -0.06) |