SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 2-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
21.97% ( 0.16) | 22.21% ( 0.02) | 55.82% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% ( 0.14) | 41.75% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% ( 0.14) | 64.16% ( -0.14) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( 0.23) | 32.73% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% ( 0.26) | 69.28% ( -0.26) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( -0.01) | 14.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.86% ( -0.02) | 43.14% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.42% 2-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 21.97% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 55.82% |
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