With the sides separated by just one place in the League Two table, it is clear that they are evenly-matched and so we think that they will cancel each other out here.
Not only that, but Carlisle have made a habit of drawing games recently, so the same again is likely here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.07) 
