Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 50.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Ballymena United |
50.53% ( 0.02) | 24.76% ( 0.16) | 24.71% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 52.27% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.01% ( -0.81) | 49.98% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.03% ( -0.73) | 71.96% ( 0.72) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.21% ( -0.31) | 19.79% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.15% ( -0.5) | 51.84% ( 0.5) |
Ballymena United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% ( -0.59) | 34.83% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.43% ( -0.63) | 71.56% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Ballymena United |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.86% Total : 50.52% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.71% |
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