Despite Casa Pia comfortably winning 4-1 in the reverse fixture earlier this season, Moreirense are the much superior side and with a return to form in recent games, we believe the visitors will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Moreirense
33.05% ( -0.55)	27.67% ( 0.12)	39.28% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 48.46% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.73% (

-0.56)

57.27% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.89% (

-0.45)

78.11% (

0.44)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7% (

-0.66)

32.3% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

-0.75)

68.8% (

0.75)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.59% (

-0.03)

28.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.84% (

-0.03)

64.16% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 33.05%

Moreirense 39.27%

Draw 27.67%

Casa Pia	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.05%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.67%	0-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.27%