SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 9.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.5%) and 0-3 (10.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
9.19% ( -0.02) | 17.1% ( 0.03) | 73.71% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.52% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% ( -0.2) | 44.94% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( -0.19) | 67.29% ( 0.19) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.59% ( -0.17) | 52.41% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.73% ( -0.11) | 86.27% ( 0.11) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.34% ( -0.05) | 10.66% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.48% ( -0.13) | 34.52% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 9.19% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 17.1% | 0-2 @ 13.99% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 10.44% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 73.69% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
