SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | SC Farense |
46.91% ( -0.02) | 26.54% ( -0.03) | 26.56% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.62% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.43% ( 0.14) | 55.57% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.26% ( 0.12) | 76.74% ( -0.11) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( 0.05) | 23.68% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% ( 0.07) | 57.8% ( -0.07) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( 0.12) | 36.29% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( 0.12) | 73.08% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.91% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 26.56% |
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