Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Castellon | Draw | Mirandes |
43.46% ( -0.04) | 27.44% ( 0.02) | 29.1% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.68% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.43% ( -0.06) | 57.57% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.65% ( -0.05) | 78.35% ( 0.04) |
Castellon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.72% ( -0.05) | 26.27% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.61% ( -0.06) | 61.39% ( 0.06) |
Mirandes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% ( -0.02) | 35.32% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% ( -0.02) | 72.08% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Castellon | Draw | Mirandes |
1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.46% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.1% |
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