Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 60.54%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 20.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (5.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
60.54% ( -0.23)	18.54% ( -0.21)	20.92% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 69.54% (

1.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.69% (

1.68)

25.31% (

-1.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.67% (

2.15)

45.33% (

-2.16)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.59% (

0.44)

8.41% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.78% (

1.07)

29.22% (

-1.07)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.92% (

1.38)

24.08% (

-1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.63% (

1.92)

58.37% (

-1.93)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 60.54%

Melbourne City 20.92%

Draw 18.54%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.45) 4-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.14) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.13% Total : 60.54%	1-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.63% Total : 18.54%	1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 20.92%