SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
45.64% ( -0.37) | 25.75% ( 0.12) | 28.62% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.43% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( -0.33) | 51.31% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( -0.29) | 73.13% ( 0.29) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( -0.31) | 22.45% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.02% ( -0.46) | 55.98% ( 0.46) |
| Albirex Niigata Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( 0.02) | 32.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.1% ( 0.02) | 68.9% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.63% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.62% |
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