SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
41.02% ( 0.14) | 27.34% ( -0.26) | 31.64% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.65% ( 0.99) | 56.34% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.63% ( 0.8) | 77.37% ( -0.8) |
| Cesar Vallejo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( 0.54) | 27% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% ( 0.7) | 62.36% ( -0.7) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.6) | 32.8% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% ( 0.66) | 69.36% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.01% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.64% |
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