SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 85%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Chad had a probability of 4.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.79%) and 0-1 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.09%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chad | Draw | Madagascar |
4.11% ( -0.02) | 10.89% ( -0.03) | 85% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 35.58% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.26% ( 0.05) | 36.74% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.1% ( 0.06) | 58.9% ( -0.06) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.93% ( -0.03) | 62.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.33% ( -0.02) | 91.68% ( 0.02) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.82% ( 0.02) | 6.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.62% ( 0.06) | 23.38% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chad | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.07% Total : 4.11% | 1-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 10.89% | 0-2 @ 14.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 13.79% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 9.6% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0)0-5 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.58% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0)0-6 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)0-7 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 84.98% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
