Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 69.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 9.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.26%) and 0-3 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.62%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Madagascar | Draw | Ghana |
9.36% ( 0.2) | 20.78% ( -0.16) | 69.86% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 33.21% ( 0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.49% ( 0.98) | 58.51% ( -0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% ( 0.76) | 79.09% ( -0.75) |
Madagascar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
39.49% ( 1.02) | 60.51% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
9.09% ( 0.5) | 90.91% ( -0.5) |
Ghana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.1% ( 0.33) | 15.9% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.87% ( 0.59) | 45.13% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Madagascar | Draw | Ghana |
1-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.08% Total : 9.36% | 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.36) 1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.78% | 0-1 @ 17.69% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 16.26% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 9.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.92% Total : 69.85% |
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