SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 12.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.06%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.17%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central African Republic | Draw | Madagascar |
12.31% ( 0.07) | 24.72% ( 0.13) | 62.97% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 32.73% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.19% ( -0.24) | 64.81% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.24% ( -0.17) | 83.76% ( 0.18) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.3% ( -0.03) | 58.7% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.03% ( -0.01) | 89.97% ( 0.02) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( -0.17) | 20.74% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.63% ( -0.28) | 53.37% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central African Republic | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 2.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 12.31% | 0-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 19.15% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 15.06% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.9% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 62.96% |
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