SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Dalian Pro |
45.94% ( 0.04) | 25.51% ( 0.12) | 28.55% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.13% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( -0.61) | 50.37% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( -0.54) | 72.31% ( 0.54) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( -0.24) | 21.91% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.82% ( -0.36) | 55.18% ( 0.35) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% ( -0.44) | 31.95% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.58% ( -0.51) | 68.41% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 45.94% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.55% |
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