SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
34.19% ( -0.07) | 25.32% ( -0.03) | 40.48% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% ( 0.13) | 47.46% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( 0.12) | 69.68% ( -0.11) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( 0.02) | 26.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.03% ( 0.02) | 61.98% ( -0.02) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( 0.11) | 23.26% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.82% ( 0.16) | 57.19% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.48% |
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