SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wuhan Three Towns.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
60.82% ( 0.43) | 20.62% ( -0.11) | 18.57% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 57.19% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.74% ( 0.03) | 39.26% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( 0.03) | 61.6% ( -0.03) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.5% ( 0.13) | 12.5% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.51% ( 0.27) | 38.49% ( -0.27) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( -0.31) | 34.64% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.63% ( -0.33) | 71.37% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 9% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.77% Total : 60.82% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.84% Total : 18.57% |
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