Charlton manager Appleton ought to get the response he is after from his side this weekend, as the Addicks never have any trouble converting their chances at The Valley, as evidenced by their unrivalled home scoring record in the third tier.
However, an equally ruthless Bolton side know a thing or two about overcoming adversity on the road, and a showdown that should certainly live up to the billing could end with the two managers accepting a point apiece after an end-to-end battle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
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