SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Oxford United |
48.85% ( 0.26) | 23.33% ( -0.1) | 27.82% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 59.9% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( 0.34) | 41.23% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% ( 0.34) | 63.62% ( -0.34) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( 0.23) | 17.08% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.74% ( 0.4) | 47.26% ( -0.4) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( 0.06) | 27.76% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.66% ( 0.07) | 63.33% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Oxford United |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.82% |
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