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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Valley
OU

Charlton
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Campbell (5')
Jones (60'), Anderson (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harris (22'), Smyth (85')
McGuane (45+5'), McEachran (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 0-2 Oxford United

Oxford United might have failed to secure three points in their most recent outing, but they will see this as the ideal match to get back to winning ways. The poor run of form that Charlton Athletic are currently suffering makes the visitors the favourites, and should lead to them taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawOxford United
48.85% (0.263 0.26) 23.33% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 27.82% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 59.9% (0.21100000000001 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77% (0.338 0.34)41.23% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38% (0.344 0.34)63.62% (-0.343 -0.34)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (0.226 0.23)17.08% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.74% (0.4 0.4)47.26% (-0.399 -0.4)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (0.057999999999993 0.06)27.76% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66% (0.074999999999996 0.07)63.33% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 48.85%
    Oxford United 27.82%
    Draw 23.32%
Charlton AthleticDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 48.85%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 27.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Charlton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Charlton
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Cambridge
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Charlton (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, December 6 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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