SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
55.63% ( -0.08) | 22.83% ( -0.06) | 21.55% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.98% ( 0.42) | 45.02% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.63% ( 0.4) | 67.38% ( -0.4) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( 0.12) | 16.03% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.62% ( 0.21) | 45.38% ( -0.21) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( 0.37) | 34.96% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% ( 0.39) | 71.71% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.63% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 21.55% |
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