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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Eastbourne Borough win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
59.75% ( -0.03) | 23.32% ( 0.04) | 16.93% |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.71% ( -0.13) | 53.29% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.16% ( -0.11) | 74.84% ( 0.11) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( -0.05) | 17.53% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.95% ( -0.1) | 48.05% ( 0.1) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.13% ( -0.08) | 44.87% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.17% ( -0.06) | 80.83% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.92% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.74% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 16.93% |
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