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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Worthing win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Worthing |
41.15% ( 1.78) | 26.43% ( -0.03) | 32.42% ( -1.75) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( -0.25) | 52.58% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( -0.21) | 74.23% ( 0.21) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( 0.83) | 25.2% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.06% ( 1.13) | 59.94% ( -1.13) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( -1.25) | 30.34% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% ( -1.52) | 66.53% ( 1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.42% |
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