SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Chelmsford City |
44.77% ( 2.66) | 24.56% ( -0.58) | 30.67% ( -2.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% ( 1.82) | 45.18% ( -1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( 1.72) | 67.52% ( -1.72) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( 1.98) | 20.29% ( -1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.35% ( 3.06) | 52.65% ( -3.06) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( -0.43) | 27.81% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% ( -0.56) | 63.4% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.37)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.77% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.45)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.68)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.5)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.68% |
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