SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Crystal Palace |
61.2% ( 0.34) | 19.95% ( -0.07) | 18.85% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.41% ( -0.13) | 35.59% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.36% ( -0.14) | 57.64% ( 0.14) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.73% ( 0.05) | 11.27% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.13% ( 0.11) | 35.88% ( -0.11) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( -0.36) | 32.15% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% ( -0.41) | 68.64% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.71% Total : 61.2% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.95% | 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.29% Total : 18.85% |
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