SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Servette had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 1-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Servette |
53.74% ( -0.56) | 21.27% ( 0.19) | 24.98% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 64.61% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.14% ( -0.54) | 33.85% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.3% ( -0.61) | 55.7% ( 0.61) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.19% ( -0.34) | 12.8% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.88% ( -0.71) | 39.11% ( 0.71) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( -0.02) | 25.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( -0.03) | 60.89% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 53.74% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.88% 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.97% 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 24.98% |
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