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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
3 - 2
Real Madrid

Nusken (2'), Reiten (27' pen.), Ramirez (53')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Redondo (39'), Caicedo (84')
Abilleira (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-7 Chelsea
Friday, September 27 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Sporting
Thursday, September 26 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Brighton82.67Seike
2Chelsea84.00Reiten
3Spurs82.67Ahtinen
4Liverpool51.67Hobinger
5Man City51.67Fowler
6Aston Villa41.33Daly
7Man Utd42.00Clinton
8Arsenal31.00Maanum
9Crystal Palace20.67Blanchard
10Leicester10.33Rantala
11West Ham10.33Ueki
12Everton00.00

We said: Chelsea Women 2-2 Real Madrid Femenino

Chelsea will be keen to begin their European campaign with a victory, but we think that they could be held to a draw by a Real Madrid side that will be full of confidence after kicking off their season with seven consecutive victories in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
42.02% (-0.101 -0.1) 25.6% (0.029 0.03) 32.38% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.86% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)49.14% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.79% (-0.087 -0.09)71.21% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)23.24% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.85% (-0.133 -0.13)57.14% (0.136 0.14)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (0.0020000000000095 0)28.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52%64.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 42.02%
    Real Madrid Femenino 32.38%
    Draw 25.6%
Chelsea WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-7 Chelsea
Friday, September 27 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Aston Villa
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-6 Chelsea
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 8-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, May 5 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-3 Chelsea
Wednesday, May 1 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Sporting
Thursday, September 26 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Sporting 1-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, September 19 at 4pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-1 BK Hacken
Tuesday, January 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Real Madrid
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-1 Paris
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Paris 2-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League


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