Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea Women | Draw | Real Madrid Femenino |
42.02% ( -0.1) | 25.6% ( 0.03) | 32.38% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.86% ( -0.09) | 49.14% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.79% ( -0.09) | 71.21% ( 0.09) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.76% ( -0.09) | 23.24% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.85% ( -0.13) | 57.14% ( 0.14) |
Real Madrid Femenino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.33% ( 0) | 28.66% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.52% | 64.48% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea Women | Draw | Real Madrid Femenino |
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.38% |
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