Cheltenham managed to hold Portsmouth to a goalless draw when the two sides met in August, but we think that they could be left empty-handed in Saturday's reverse fixture, especially as Pompey have won seven of their 12 away league matches this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
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